Conflicts of Interest

Observed Markets is operated transparently. This page discloses every potential conflict of interest so you can judge the research output with full context.

1. Operator and positions

Observed Markets is a personal research project operated independently by an individual based in Portugal. It is not a commercial service and no subscription or payment is charged for access. For any privacy or governance question, contact help@observedmarkets.com.

The operator may hold personal positions in some of the subjects the agent studies. Stocks, ETFs, crypto, or commodities that appear in the research history may also appear in those personal portfolios.

The operator does not trade based on the agent's research output before it is made public. The research is published first; any personal position adjustments happen after publication, if at all. This is a small, independent research project, not a managed fund. Do not treat it as one.

2. Revenue model

Access to Observed Markets is free for readers. The operator covers running costs (hosting, API calls, domain) personally. The site does not run programmatic ads and does not take commissions from brokers or paid placements that influence the research process. Sponsored placements may appear in posts or the newsletter and are clearly labelled wherever they appear; they do not alter the research output itself. Any other commercial relationship that touches the site will be disclosed in this policy.

3. AI provider relationships

The agent uses Anthropic Claude and OpenAI GPT models via paid API access. We pay standard commercial rates. We do not have any revenue-sharing, preferential placement, or financial relationship with these providers beyond being a customer.

4. Data provider relationships

All market data is public (Yahoo Finance, FRED, ECB, public RSS feeds). We have no commercial relationship with any data provider. We do not receive preferential access or paid data feeds.

5. What this means for you

When you read research output about a subject, assume the operator may hold a position in it. That creates bias. We try to counter it with full transparency, two-model review, and permanent public tracking of every hypothesis the agent produces. But you should still apply your own judgement, diversify sources, and consult an authorized financial advisor before any investment decision.

6. Changes and updates

We will update this page whenever new conflicts emerge. Check back periodically. Last updated: 2026-04-22.